Limits of Evidence and Cluelessness

Questions to consider

  • What do people mean by cluelessness? Is cluelessness the same as uncertainty?
  • What distinguishes simple and complex cluelessness?
  • Are these a reason to reject longtermism?
  • How limited are we by lack of information? How much does this affect our actions?
  • How much can we rely on studies like RCTs to resolve cluelessness? What other methods could we use to fill the gaps?


These are roughly ordered based on how time-efficient we expect them to be (although some might repeat content).