Using Forecasting Tools

Note: The content of this week was kindly put together by the team at Elicit, who want to make their forecasting tools more accessible.

Questions to consider

  • How can I use forecasting tools to make and collate forecasts?
  • How can I get better at forecasting?
  • What sorts of public forecasts can EAs make use of?


Articles with a ⭐ in front are worth focussing on first, as this is an optional week the reading a looser summary, you're encouraged to go research other information on this topic!

  1. Read/watch introductory content:
  2. Look at some examples of forecasting in action (more optional)
  3. Use tools to make and track personal forecasts
  4. Start developing a track record on public forecasting platforms